Manchester United vs Aston Villa: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Manchester United vs Aston Villa
Manchester United and Aston Villa have met 15 times on record: Manchester United won 9, Aston Villa won 3 and 3 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction
Premier League ·
Manchester United 52% to win
- Manchester United win52%
- Draw23%
- Aston Villa win26%
Expected goals: Manchester United 1.8, Aston Villa 1.2
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Manchester United have the edge at 52%, but this is far from one-sided: the draw is at 23% and Aston Villa at 26%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 61%, and expected goals of 1.8 for Manchester United and 1.2 for Aston Villa. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: the next meeting
Manchester United vs Aston Villa
· Premier League · Manchester United at home
Manchester United vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Dec 1, 2019 to Mar 15, 2026
15 meetings: Manchester United won 9, Aston Villa won 3 and 3 were drawn. Goals: Manchester United 26, Aston Villa 16.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Manchester United | 3-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Manchester United | 2-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Aston Villa | 0-0 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Aston Villa | 1-2 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Manchester United | 3-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Manchester United | 1-0 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Manchester United | 1-0 | Aston Villa | FA Cup |
Show all 15 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2021 | Manchester United | 0-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| May 9, 2021 | Aston Villa | 1-3 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2021 | Manchester United | 2-1 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Aston Villa | 0-3 | Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Manchester United | 2-2 | Aston Villa | Premier League |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Manchester United and Aston Villa meet
Counted over their 15 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 9 of their 15 meetings, and 10 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 60%9 of 15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%11 of 15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%10 of 15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%6 of 15 |
| Manchester United kept a clean sheet | 33%5 of 15 |
| Aston Villa kept a clean sheet | 13%2 of 15 |
| Manchester United won at home | 75%6 of 8 |
| Aston Villa won at home | 29%2 of 7 |
Manchester United and Aston Villa side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Manchester United | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 17 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 41 | 33 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 55 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Won | 41%17 of 41 | 60%33 of 55 |
| Drew | 32%13 of 41 | 15%8 of 55 |
| Lost | 27%11 of 41 | 25%14 of 55 |
| Both teams scored | 66%27 of 41 | 58%32 of 55 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%35 of 41 | 78%43 of 55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%23 of 41 | 62%34 of 55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%14 of 41 | 38%21 of 55 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 20%8 of 41 | 29%16 of 55 |
| Did not score | 17%7 of 41 | 16%9 of 55 |
Everything on each club: Manchester United, Aston Villa
Manchester United and Aston Villa: the last five results
Manchester United
- Lost0-2Away against ChelseaOct 31, 2026
- Lost0-3Home against AFC BournemouthOct 25, 2026
- Lost1-4Away against ComoOct 21, 2026
- Drew1-1Away against Leeds UnitedOct 18, 2026
- Lost0-2Away against Atlético de MadridOct 13, 2026
Manchester United goals first.
Aston Villa
- Drew1-1Home against FulhamOct 31, 2026
- Won2-1Home against Manchester CityOct 24, 2026
- Won3-1Home against VikingOct 21, 2026
- Won1-0Away against Newcastle UnitedOct 17, 2026
- Won6-0Home against FenerbahçeOct 14, 2026
Aston Villa goals first.
Manchester United and Aston Villa in the table
| Club | # | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| Manchester United | 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Manchester United score | 85% |
| Aston Villa score | 72% |
| Manchester United score 2 or more | 56% |
| Aston Villa score 2 or more | 36% |
| Manchester United keep a clean sheet | 28% |
| Aston Villa keep a clean sheet | 15% |
Questions about Manchester United vs Aston Villa
How many times have Manchester United and Aston Villa met?
15 times on record. Manchester United won 9, Aston Villa won 3 and 3 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Manchester United and Aston Villa meet?
Both teams scored in 9 of their 15 meetings on record (60%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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