Atalanta vs Parma: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Atalanta vs Parma
Atalanta and Parma have met 10 times on record: Atalanta won 8, Parma won 1 and 1 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Atalanta vs Parma prediction
Serie A ·
Atalanta 63% to win
- Atalanta win63%
- Draw20%
- Parma win16%
Expected goals: Atalanta 2.1, Parma 0.9
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Atalanta go in as favourites: the model gives them a 63% chance of winning, with the draw at 20% and Parma at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is at 60%, and expected goals of 2.1 for Atalanta and 0.9 for Parma. Atalanta will be without Gianluca Scamacca, Raoul Bellanova and Sead Kolasinac. Parma will be without Nesta Elphege. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Atalanta
- Gianluca Scamacca: Injured, expected back Nov 2
- Raoul Bellanova: Injured
- Sead Kolasinac: Injured, expected back Nov 8
- Giacomo Raspadori: Injured, expected back Nov 2
- Thomas Pompei: Injured, expected back Nov 16
- Odilon Kossounou: Injured, expected back Nov 16
Parma
- Nesta Elphege: Injured
Atalanta vs Parma: the next meeting
Atalanta vs Parma
· Serie A · Atalanta at home
Atalanta vs Parma head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Oct 27, 2018 to Jan 25, 2026
10 meetings: Atalanta won 8, Parma won 1 and 1 were drawn. Goals: Atalanta 31, Parma 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atalanta | 4-0 | Parma | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Parma | 1-1 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| May 25, 2025 | Atalanta | 2-3 | Parma | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Parma | 1-3 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| May 9, 2021 | Parma | 2-5 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Atalanta | 3-0 | Parma | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2020 | Parma | 1-2 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2020 | Atalanta | 5-0 | Parma | Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Parma | 1-3 | Atalanta | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Atalanta | 3-0 | Parma | Serie A |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Atalanta and Parma meet
Counted over their 10 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 6 of their 10 meetings, and 9 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 60%6 of 10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100%10 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90%9 of 10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60%6 of 10 |
| Atalanta kept a clean sheet | 40%4 of 10 |
| Parma kept a clean sheet | 0%0 of 10 |
| Atalanta won at home | 80%4 of 5 |
| Parma won at home | 0%0 of 5 |
Atalanta and Parma side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Atalanta | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 22 won, 10 drawn, 18 lost in 50 | 11 won, 10 drawn, 17 lost in 38 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won | 44%22 of 50 | 29%11 of 38 |
| Drew | 20%10 of 50 | 26%10 of 38 |
| Lost | 36%18 of 50 | 45%17 of 38 |
| Both teams scored | 52%26 of 50 | 42%16 of 38 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%37 of 50 | 63%24 of 38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%26 of 50 | 37%14 of 38 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%15 of 50 | 16%6 of 38 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 32%16 of 50 | 29%11 of 38 |
| Did not score | 22%11 of 50 | 39%15 of 38 |
Atalanta and Parma: the last five results
Atalanta
- Drew2-2Away against FiorentinaOct 29, 2026
- Drew4-4Home against FrosinoneOct 25, 2026
- Lost0-2Away against AjaxOct 22, 2026
- Lost2-3Away against AC MilanOct 18, 2026
- Won3-1Home against Pafos FCOct 15, 2026
Atalanta goals first.
Parma
- Drew0-0Home against UdineseOct 28, 2026
- Lost1-2Away against LazioOct 24, 2026
- Lost0-3Home against TorinoOct 19, 2026
- Lost0-3Away against Inter MilanOct 10, 2026
- Won2-1Home against GenoaSep 20, 2026
Parma goals first.
Atalanta and Parma in the table
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Atalanta score | 88% |
| Parma score | 62% |
| Atalanta score 2 or more | 62% |
| Parma score 2 or more | 25% |
| Atalanta keep a clean sheet | 38% |
| Parma keep a clean sheet | 12% |
Questions about Atalanta vs Parma
How many times have Atalanta and Parma met?
10 times on record. Atalanta won 8, Parma won 1 and 1 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Atalanta and Parma meet?
Both teams scored in 6 of their 10 meetings on record (60%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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