Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Atlético de Madrid and Bayern Munich have met 2 times on record: Atlético de Madrid won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction
Champions League ·
Bayern Munich 56% to win
- Atlético de Madrid win25%
- Draw19%
- Bayern Munich win56%
Expected goals: Atlético de Madrid 1.5, Bayern Munich 2.3
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Bayern Munich go in as favourites: the model gives them a 56% chance of winning, with the draw at 19% and Atlético de Madrid at 25%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 75%, and expected goals of 1.5 for Atlético de Madrid and 2.3 for Bayern Munich. Atlético de Madrid will be without Koke. Bayern Munich will be without Joshua Kimmich, Ismael Saibari and Serge Gnabry. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Atlético de Madrid
- Koke: Injured, expected back Nov 8
Bayern Munich
- Joshua Kimmich: Suspended
- Ismael Saibari: Injured
- Serge Gnabry: Injured
- Bara Sapoko Ndiaye: Injured
- Luis Díaz: Injured, expected back Nov 29
- Manuel Neuer: Injured, expected back Nov 3
Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich: the next meeting
Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich
· Champions League · Atlético de Madrid at home
Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Oct 21, 2020 to Dec 1, 2020
2 meetings: Atlético de Madrid won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 were drawn. Goals: Atlético de Madrid 1, Bayern Munich 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2020 | Atlético de Madrid | 1-1 | Bayern Munich | Champions League |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Bayern Munich | 4-0 | Atlético de Madrid | Champions League |
Scores are written home side first.
Atlético de Madrid and Bayern Munich side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Atlético de Madrid | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 35 won, 8 drawn, 17 lost in 60 | 39 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 53 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Won | 58%35 of 60 | 74%39 of 53 |
| Drew | 13%8 of 60 | 21%11 of 53 |
| Lost | 28%17 of 60 | 6%3 of 53 |
| Both teams scored | 53%32 of 60 | 75%40 of 53 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%47 of 60 | 96%51 of 53 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%37 of 60 | 87%46 of 53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%21 of 60 | 74%39 of 53 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 35%21 of 60 | 25%13 of 53 |
| Did not score | 13%8 of 60 | 2%1 of 53 |
Everything on each club: Atlético de Madrid, Bayern Munich
Atlético de Madrid and Bayern Munich: the last five results
Atlético de Madrid
- Won2-0Away against LevanteOct 31, 2026
- Won1-0Home against Deportivo A CoruñaOct 24, 2026
- Drew1-1Away against VfB StuttgartOct 20, 2026
- Won1-0Away against EspanyolOct 17, 2026
- Won2-0Home against Manchester UnitedOct 13, 2026
Atlético de Madrid goals first.
Bayern Munich
- Drew2-2Home against Borussia DortmundOct 31, 2026
- Won6-1Home against MagdeburgOct 28, 2026
- Won3-1Away against SC FreiburgOct 25, 2026
- Drew2-2Home against ArsenalOct 21, 2026
- Won6-1Home against RB LeipzigOct 17, 2026
Bayern Munich goals first.
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Atlético de Madrid score | 78% |
| Bayern Munich score | 90% |
| Atlético de Madrid score 2 or more | 46% |
| Bayern Munich score 2 or more | 68% |
| Atlético de Madrid keep a clean sheet | 10% |
| Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet | 22% |
Questions about Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich
How many times have Atlético de Madrid and Bayern Munich met?
2 times on record. Atlético de Madrid won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 were drawn.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions.