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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: prediction and head-to-head

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich have met 18 times on record: FSV Mainz 05 won 4, Bayern Munich won 13 and 1 were drawn.

The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction

Bundesliga ·

Bayern Munich 80% to win

  • FSV Mainz 05 win9%
  • Draw10%
  • Bayern Munich win80%

Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 1.2, Bayern Munich 3.5

Forecast updated 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.

Match preview

Bayern Munich go in as favourites: the model gives them a 80% chance of winning, with the draw at 10% and FSV Mainz 05 at 9%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 85%, and expected goals of 1.2 for FSV Mainz 05 and 3.5 for Bayern Munich. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: the next meeting

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich

· Bundesliga · FSV Mainz 05 at home

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich head-to-head

Every meeting on record, Oct 27, 2018 to Apr 25, 2026

18 meetings: FSV Mainz 05 won 4, Bayern Munich won 13 and 1 were drawn. Goals: FSV Mainz 05 25, Bayern Munich 62.

Meetings between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich: date, home side, score, away side and competition
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
Apr 25, 2026FSV Mainz 053-4Bayern MunichBundesliga
Dec 14, 2025Bayern Munich2-2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025Bayern Munich3-0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2024FSV Mainz 052-1Bayern MunichBundesliga
Oct 30, 2024FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern MunichDFB Pokal
Mar 9, 2024Bayern Munich8-1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2023FSV Mainz 051-3Bayern MunichBundesliga
Apr 22, 2023FSV Mainz 053-1Bayern MunichBundesliga
Feb 1, 2023FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern MunichDFB Pokal
Oct 29, 2022Bayern Munich6-2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Show all 18 meetings
Earlier meetings between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
Apr 30, 2022FSV Mainz 053-1Bayern MunichBundesliga
Dec 11, 2021Bayern Munich2-1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Apr 24, 2021FSV Mainz 052-1Bayern MunichBundesliga
Jan 3, 2021Bayern Munich5-2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2020FSV Mainz 051-3Bayern MunichBundesliga
Aug 31, 2019Bayern Munich6-1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Mar 17, 2019Bayern Munich6-0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2018FSV Mainz 051-2Bayern MunichBundesliga

Scores are written home side first.

What has happened when FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich meet

Counted over their 18 meetings on record

Both teams scored in 14 of their 18 meetings, and 18 had more than 2.5 goals.

Counts over the meetings between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich
ResultMeetings
Both teams scored78%14 of 18
Over 1.5 goals100%18 of 18
Over 2.5 goals100%18 of 18
Over 3.5 goals72%13 of 18
FSV Mainz 05 kept a clean sheet0%0 of 18
Bayern Munich kept a clean sheet22%4 of 18
FSV Mainz 05 won at home40%4 of 10
Bayern Munich won at home88%7 of 8

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich side by side

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich: record, goals per game and results on each market over each club's last 12 months
ResultFSV Mainz 05Bayern Munich
Record17 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 4339 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 53
Goals scored per game1.63.3
Goals conceded per game1.41.3
Won40%17 of 4374%39 of 53
Drew26%11 of 4321%11 of 53
Lost35%15 of 436%3 of 53
Both teams scored53%23 of 4375%40 of 53
Over 1.5 goals81%35 of 4396%51 of 53
Over 2.5 goals53%23 of 4387%46 of 53
Over 3.5 goals37%16 of 4374%39 of 53
Kept a clean sheet28%12 of 4325%13 of 53
Did not score26%11 of 432%1 of 53

Everything on each club: FSV Mainz 05, Bayern Munich

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich: the last five results

FSV Mainz 05

  1. Lost1-4Away against ElversbergOct 30, 2026
  2. Lost0-2Away against VfL Bochum 1848Oct 27, 2026
  3. Lost2-3Home against Werder BremenOct 24, 2026
  4. Won1-0Away against Schalke 04Oct 17, 2026
  5. Lost3-4Home against Bayer LeverkusenOct 10, 2026

FSV Mainz 05 goals first.

Bayern Munich

  1. Drew2-2Home against Borussia DortmundOct 31, 2026
  2. Won6-1Home against MagdeburgOct 28, 2026
  3. Won3-1Away against SC FreiburgOct 25, 2026
  4. Drew2-2Home against ArsenalOct 21, 2026
  5. Won6-1Home against RB LeipzigOct 17, 2026

Bayern Munich goals first.

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich in the table

FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich in their league table: position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals and points
Club#PWDLGFGAPts
Bayern Munich1853027818
FSV Mainz 0598314171710

Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets

The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.

MarketEstimate
Both teams score66%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
FSV Mainz 05 score68%
Bayern Munich score97%
FSV Mainz 05 score 2 or more34%
Bayern Munich score 2 or more87%
FSV Mainz 05 keep a clean sheet3%
Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet32%

Questions about FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich

How many times have FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich met?

18 times on record. FSV Mainz 05 won 4, Bayern Munich won 13 and 1 were drawn.

How often do both teams score when FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich meet?

Both teams scored in 14 of their 18 meetings on record (78%).

How is this prediction made?

It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.

Is this a tip?

No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.

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