Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Libertad vs Cerro Porteño
Libertad and Cerro Porteño have met 34 times on record: Libertad won 13, Cerro Porteño won 9 and 12 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño prediction
Division 1 ·
Cerro Porteño 40% to win
- Libertad win33%
- Draw27%
- Cerro Porteño win40%
Expected goals: Libertad 1.3, Cerro Porteño 1.4
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
There is little to split them: the model has Libertad at 33%, the draw at 27% and Cerro Porteño at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and expected goals of 1.3 for Libertad and 1.4 for Cerro Porteño. Libertad will be without Matías Espinoza. Cerro Porteño will be without Gastón Giménez, Blas Riveros and Gabriel Aguayo. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Libertad
- Matías Espinoza: Injured, expected back Mar 31
Cerro Porteño
- Gastón Giménez: Injured
- Blas Riveros: Injured
- Gabriel Aguayo: Injured
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: the next meeting
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño
· Division 1 · Libertad at home
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Feb 23, 2018 to Aug 30, 2026
34 meetings: Libertad won 13, Cerro Porteño won 9 and 12 were drawn. Goals: Libertad 43, Cerro Porteño 37.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Libertad | 2-3 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Libertad | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Libertad | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 2-2 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 2-3 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Libertad | 2-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Libertad | 1-3 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
Show all 34 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Libertad | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Cerro Porteño | 2-0 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Libertad | 5-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Libertad | 0-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Libertad | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cerro Porteño | 4-0 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Libertad | 0-2 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Cerro Porteño | 1-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Cerro Porteño | 0-3 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Libertad | 2-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Libertad | 0-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Cerro Porteño | 2-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Cerro Porteño | 1-3 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Libertad | 2-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Cerro Porteño | 1-2 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Jan 27, 2019 | Libertad | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Cerro Porteño | 0-1 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Libertad | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
| May 7, 2018 | Cerro Porteño | 0-2 | Libertad | Division 1 |
| Feb 23, 2018 | Libertad | 1-1 | Cerro Porteño | Division 1 |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Libertad and Cerro Porteño meet
Counted over their 34 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 19 of their 34 meetings, and 13 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 56%19 of 34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%25 of 34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%13 of 34 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%7 of 34 |
| Libertad kept a clean sheet | 26%9 of 34 |
| Cerro Porteño kept a clean sheet | 24%8 of 34 |
| Libertad won at home | 44%7 of 16 |
| Cerro Porteño won at home | 33%6 of 18 |
Libertad and Cerro Porteño side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Libertad | Cerro Porteño |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 20 won, 7 drawn, 21 lost in 48 | 24 won, 11 drawn, 14 lost in 49 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Won | 42%20 of 48 | 49%24 of 49 |
| Drew | 15%7 of 48 | 22%11 of 49 |
| Lost | 44%21 of 48 | 29%14 of 49 |
| Both teams scored | 48%23 of 48 | 39%19 of 49 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65%31 of 48 | 67%33 of 49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%23 of 48 | 33%16 of 49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%12 of 48 | 14%7 of 49 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 25%12 of 48 | 45%22 of 49 |
| Did not score | 29%14 of 48 | 24%12 of 49 |
Everything on each club: Libertad, Cerro Porteño
Libertad and Cerro Porteño: the last five results
Libertad
- Lost1-2Away against Sportivo San LorenzoOct 31, 2026
- Won1-0Home against Sportivo LuqueñoOct 23, 2026
- Lost0-1Away against Sportivo TrinidenseOct 18, 2026
- Drew2-2Home against GuaraníOct 11, 2026
- Won2-1Away against Deportivo RecoletaOct 5, 2026
Libertad goals first.
Cerro Porteño
- Lost0-2Home against OlimpiaNov 1, 2026
- Won3-1Away against Sportivo San LorenzoOct 25, 2026
- Drew2-2Home against Sportivo AmelianoOct 18, 2026
- Won3-0Away against Sportivo LuqueñoOct 10, 2026
- Lost0-2Home against 2 de MayoOct 5, 2026
Cerro Porteño goals first.
Libertad and Cerro Porteño in the table
| Club | # | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteño | 3 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 38 |
| Libertad | 6 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 26 | 31 |
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Libertad score | 73% |
| Cerro Porteño score | 77% |
| Libertad score 2 or more | 37% |
| Cerro Porteño score 2 or more | 43% |
| Libertad keep a clean sheet | 23% |
| Cerro Porteño keep a clean sheet | 27% |
Questions about Libertad vs Cerro Porteño
How many times have Libertad and Cerro Porteño met?
34 times on record. Libertad won 13, Cerro Porteño won 9 and 12 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Libertad and Cerro Porteño meet?
Both teams scored in 19 of their 34 meetings on record (56%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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