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São Paulo vs Corinthians: prediction and head-to-head

The numbers behind São Paulo vs Corinthians

São Paulo and Corinthians have met 17 times on record: São Paulo won 7, Corinthians won 4 and 6 were drawn.

The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.

São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction

Serie A ·

São Paulo 40% to win

  • São Paulo win40%
  • Draw26%
  • Corinthians win34%

Expected goals: São Paulo 1.4, Corinthians 1.3

Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.

Match preview

There is little to split them: the model has São Paulo at 40%, the draw at 26% and Corinthians at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is at 54%, and expected goals of 1.4 for São Paulo and 1.3 for Corinthians. São Paulo will be without Sabino, Marcos Antônio and Artur. Corinthians will be without Gabriel Paulista, Memphis Depay and Alex Santana. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.

Team news

Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.

São Paulo

  • Sabino: Suspended, expected back Nov 16
  • Marcos Antônio: Injured
  • Artur: Injured
  • Domingos Duarte: Injured
  • Nicolas: Injured
  • Aurélio Buta: Injured

Corinthians

  • Gabriel Paulista: Injured
  • Memphis Depay: Injured
  • Alex Santana: Injured
  • Raniele: Injured
  • Zakaria Labyad: Injured
  • Kayke: Injured

São Paulo vs Corinthians: the next meeting

São Paulo vs Corinthians

· Serie A · São Paulo at home

São Paulo vs Corinthians head-to-head

Every meeting on record, Jul 22, 2018 to May 10, 2026

17 meetings: São Paulo won 7, Corinthians won 4 and 6 were drawn. Goals: São Paulo 23, Corinthians 18.

Meetings between São Paulo and Corinthians: date, home side, score, away side and competition
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
May 10, 2026Corinthians3-2São PauloSerie A
Nov 20, 2025Corinthians3-1São PauloSerie A
Jul 20, 2025São Paulo2-0CorinthiansSerie A
Sep 29, 2024São Paulo3-1CorinthiansSerie A
Jun 16, 2024Corinthians2-2São PauloSerie A
Sep 30, 2023São Paulo2-1CorinthiansSerie A
May 14, 2023Corinthians1-1São PauloSerie A
Sep 11, 2022São Paulo1-1CorinthiansSerie A
May 22, 2022Corinthians1-1São PauloSerie A
Oct 18, 2021São Paulo1-0CorinthiansSerie A
Show all 17 meetings
Earlier meetings between São Paulo and Corinthians
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
Jul 1, 2021Corinthians0-0São PauloSerie A
Dec 13, 2020Corinthians1-0São PauloSerie A
Aug 30, 2020São Paulo2-1CorinthiansSerie A
Oct 13, 2019São Paulo1-0CorinthiansSerie A
May 26, 2019Corinthians1-0São PauloSerie A
Nov 10, 2018Corinthians1-1São PauloSerie A
Jul 22, 2018São Paulo3-1CorinthiansSerie A

Scores are written home side first.

What has happened when São Paulo and Corinthians meet

Counted over their 17 meetings on record

Both teams scored in 11 of their 17 meetings, and 7 had more than 2.5 goals.

Counts over the meetings between São Paulo and Corinthians
ResultMeetings
Both teams scored65%11 of 17
Over 1.5 goals71%12 of 17
Over 2.5 goals41%7 of 17
Over 3.5 goals29%5 of 17
São Paulo kept a clean sheet24%4 of 17
Corinthians kept a clean sheet18%3 of 17
São Paulo won at home88%7 of 8
Corinthians won at home44%4 of 9

São Paulo and Corinthians side by side

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

São Paulo and Corinthians: record, goals per game and results on each market over each club's last 12 months
ResultSão PauloCorinthians
Record19 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 5115 won, 15 drawn, 21 lost in 51
Goals scored per game1.21.1
Goals conceded per game1.11.2
Won37%19 of 5129%15 of 51
Drew25%13 of 5129%15 of 51
Lost37%19 of 5141%21 of 51
Both teams scored51%26 of 5153%27 of 51
Over 1.5 goals73%37 of 5175%38 of 51
Over 2.5 goals37%19 of 5139%20 of 51
Over 3.5 goals16%8 of 5118%9 of 51
Kept a clean sheet27%14 of 5133%17 of 51
Did not score25%13 of 5124%12 of 51

Everything on each club: São Paulo, Corinthians

São Paulo and Corinthians: the last five results

São Paulo

  1. Lost2-3Away against BahiaOct 29, 2026
  2. Drew1-1Away against MirassolOct 24, 2026
  3. Won1-0Home against Vasco da GamaOct 18, 2026
  4. Won2-1Home against VitóriaOct 11, 2026
  5. Lost0-2Away against CruzeiroOct 8, 2026

São Paulo goals first.

Corinthians

  1. Won2-0Home against MirassolOct 30, 2026
  2. Lost2-3Away against Vasco da GamaOct 24, 2026
  3. Drew1-1Home against VitóriaOct 19, 2026
  4. Lost1-4Away against PalmeirasOct 11, 2026
  5. Lost1-2Away against InternacionalOct 7, 2026

Corinthians goals first.

São Paulo and Corinthians in the table

São Paulo and Corinthians in their league table: position, played, won, drawn, lost, goals and points
Club#PWDLGFGAPts
São Paulo103312714393943
Corinthians17339915364236

Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets

The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.

MarketEstimate
Both teams score58%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
São Paulo score78%
Corinthians score74%
São Paulo score 2 or more44%
Corinthians score 2 or more39%
São Paulo keep a clean sheet26%
Corinthians keep a clean sheet22%

Questions about São Paulo vs Corinthians

How many times have São Paulo and Corinthians met?

17 times on record. São Paulo won 7, Corinthians won 4 and 6 were drawn.

How often do both teams score when São Paulo and Corinthians meet?

Both teams scored in 11 of their 17 meetings on record (65%).

How is this prediction made?

It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.

Is this a tip?

No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.

Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions.