Libertad vs Emelec: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Libertad vs Emelec
Libertad and Emelec have met 9 times on record: Libertad won 2, Emelec won 2 and 5 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Libertad vs Emelec prediction
Liga Pro ·
Libertad 45% to win
- Libertad win45%
- Draw26%
- Emelec win28%
Expected goals: Libertad 1.5, Emelec 1.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Libertad have the edge at 45%, but this is far from one-sided: the draw is at 26% and Emelec at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and expected goals of 1.5 for Libertad and 1.1 for Emelec. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Libertad vs Emelec: the next meeting
Libertad vs Emelec
· Liga Pro · Libertad at home
Libertad vs Emelec head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Feb 27, 2023 to Sep 20, 2026
9 meetings: Libertad won 2, Emelec won 2 and 5 were drawn. Goals: Libertad 8, Emelec 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Emelec | 1-2 | Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Libertad | 1-1 | Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2026 | Emelec | 1-1 | Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Libertad | 1-2 | Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec | 1-1 | Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Libertad | 2-1 | Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Emelec | 0-0 | Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Libertad | 0-0 | Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Emelec | 2-0 | Libertad | Liga Pro |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Libertad and Emelec meet
Counted over their 9 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 6 of their 9 meetings, and 3 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 67%6 of 9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%7 of 9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33%3 of 9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0%0 of 9 |
| Libertad kept a clean sheet | 22%2 of 9 |
| Emelec kept a clean sheet | 33%3 of 9 |
| Libertad won at home | 25%1 of 4 |
| Emelec won at home | 20%1 of 5 |
Libertad and Emelec side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Libertad | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15 won, 12 drawn, 16 lost in 43 | 13 won, 9 drawn, 20 lost in 42 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won | 35%15 of 43 | 31%13 of 42 |
| Drew | 28%12 of 43 | 21%9 of 42 |
| Lost | 37%16 of 43 | 48%20 of 42 |
| Both teams scored | 53%23 of 43 | 40%17 of 42 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%30 of 43 | 74%31 of 42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%22 of 43 | 31%13 of 42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%11 of 43 | 14%6 of 42 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 30%13 of 43 | 29%12 of 42 |
| Did not score | 26%11 of 43 | 38%16 of 42 |
Libertad and Emelec: the last five results
Libertad
- Drew0-0Away against Guayaquil CityNov 1, 2026
- Lost1-4Away against Leones del NorteOct 25, 2026
- Won4-0Home against Guayaquil CityOct 17, 2026
- Won3-0Home against Leones del NorteOct 9, 2026
- Won2-1Away against EmelecSep 20, 2026
Libertad goals first.
Emelec
- Lost0-2Home against Leones del NorteOct 31, 2026
- Lost0-1Home against Guayaquil CityOct 25, 2026
- Won3-1Away against Leones del NorteOct 18, 2026
- Lost2-3Away against Guayaquil CityOct 10, 2026
- Lost1-2Home against LibertadSep 20, 2026
Emelec goals first.
Libertad and Emelec in the table
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Libertad score | 79% |
| Emelec score | 70% |
| Libertad score 2 or more | 46% |
| Emelec score 2 or more | 33% |
| Libertad keep a clean sheet | 30% |
| Emelec keep a clean sheet | 21% |
Questions about Libertad vs Emelec
How many times have Libertad and Emelec met?
9 times on record. Libertad won 2, Emelec won 2 and 5 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Libertad and Emelec meet?
Both teams scored in 6 of their 9 meetings on record (67%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions.