Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
Sassuolo and Fiorentina have met 14 times on record: Sassuolo won 6, Fiorentina won 4 and 4 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Serie A ·
Fiorentina 43% to win
- Sassuolo win32%
- Draw26%
- Fiorentina win43%
Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.3, Fiorentina 1.5
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
There is little to split them: the model has Sassuolo at 32%, the draw at 26% and Fiorentina at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is at 55%, and expected goals of 1.3 for Sassuolo and 1.5 for Fiorentina. Sassuolo will be without Edoardo Pieragnolo, Fedde Leysen and Ismaël Koné. Fiorentina will be without Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri and Arthur Atta. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Sassuolo
- Edoardo Pieragnolo: Injured
- Fedde Leysen: Injured, expected back May 10
- Ismaël Koné: Injured, expected back Jan 2
Fiorentina
- Marin Pongracic: Injured
- Luca Ranieri: Injured
- Arthur Atta: Injured, expected back Nov 9
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: the next meeting
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
· Serie A · Sassuolo at home
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Dec 9, 2018 to Apr 26, 2026
14 meetings: Sassuolo won 6, Fiorentina won 4 and 4 were drawn. Goals: Sassuolo 23, Fiorentina 22.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fiorentina | 0-0 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sassuolo | 3-1 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Fiorentina | 5-1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Sassuolo | 1-0 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Sassuolo | 1-3 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Sassuolo | 2-1 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Sassuolo | 3-1 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
Show all 14 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2020 | Fiorentina | 1-3 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Sassuolo | 1-2 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2019 | Fiorentina | 0-1 | Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Sassuolo | 3-3 | Fiorentina | Serie A |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Sassuolo and Fiorentina meet
Counted over their 14 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 11 of their 14 meetings, and 10 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 79%11 of 14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%11 of 14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%10 of 14 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%7 of 14 |
| Sassuolo kept a clean sheet | 21%3 of 14 |
| Fiorentina kept a clean sheet | 7%1 of 14 |
| Sassuolo won at home | 57%4 of 7 |
| Fiorentina won at home | 29%2 of 7 |
Sassuolo and Fiorentina side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost in 38 | 15 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 48 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Won | 32%12 of 38 | 31%15 of 48 |
| Drew | 21%8 of 38 | 27%13 of 48 |
| Lost | 47%18 of 38 | 42%20 of 48 |
| Both teams scored | 63%24 of 38 | 58%28 of 48 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%32 of 38 | 77%37 of 48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%24 of 38 | 60%29 of 48 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%10 of 38 | 23%11 of 48 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 13%5 of 38 | 19%9 of 48 |
| Did not score | 26%10 of 38 | 29%14 of 48 |
Everything on each club: Sassuolo, Fiorentina
Sassuolo and Fiorentina: the last five results
Sassuolo
- Lost2-6Home against LazioOct 27, 2026
- Lost0-2Away against ComoOct 24, 2026
- Lost2-4Away against FrosinoneOct 16, 2026
- Drew1-1Home against AC MilanOct 11, 2026
- Lost1-2Away against MonzaSep 18, 2026
Sassuolo goals first.
Fiorentina
- Drew2-2Home against AtalantaOct 29, 2026
- Lost1-2Away against Inter MilanOct 25, 2026
- Lost1-3Home against ComoOct 18, 2026
- Lost1-2Away against GenoaOct 10, 2026
- Drew1-1Home against NapoliSep 20, 2026
Fiorentina goals first.
Sassuolo and Fiorentina in the table
| Club | # | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 5 |
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Sassuolo score | 74% |
| Fiorentina score | 79% |
| Sassuolo score 2 or more | 38% |
| Fiorentina score 2 or more | 47% |
| Sassuolo keep a clean sheet | 21% |
| Fiorentina keep a clean sheet | 26% |
Questions about Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
How many times have Sassuolo and Fiorentina met?
14 times on record. Sassuolo won 6, Fiorentina won 4 and 4 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Sassuolo and Fiorentina meet?
Both teams scored in 11 of their 14 meetings on record (79%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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