Flamengo vs Grêmio: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Flamengo vs Grêmio
Flamengo and Grêmio have met 17 times on record: Flamengo won 9, Grêmio won 4 and 4 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction
Serie A ·
Flamengo 77% to win
- Flamengo win77%
- Draw15%
- Grêmio win8%
Expected goals: Flamengo 2.5, Grêmio 0.7
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Flamengo go in as favourites: the model gives them a 77% chance of winning, with the draw at 15% and Grêmio at 8%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 64%, and expected goals of 2.5 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Grêmio. Flamengo will be without Gonzalo Plata, Saúl Ñíguez and Anthony Valencia. Grêmio will be without Cristian Pavón, Diego Caito and Danilo Barbosa. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Flamengo
- Gonzalo Plata: Suspended, expected back Nov 16
- Saúl Ñíguez: Injured
- Anthony Valencia: Injured
- Danilo: Injured
Grêmio
- Cristian Pavón: Injured
- Diego Caito: Injured
- Danilo Barbosa: Injured
- Juan Nardoni: Injured
- Jovane Cabral: Injured
- Roger: Injured
Flamengo vs Grêmio: the next meeting
Flamengo vs Grêmio
· Serie A · Flamengo at home
Flamengo vs Grêmio head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Aug 4, 2018 to May 10, 2026
17 meetings: Flamengo won 9, Grêmio won 4 and 4 were drawn. Goals: Flamengo 32, Grêmio 18.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Grêmio | 0-1 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Flamengo | 1-1 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Grêmio | 0-2 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Grêmio | 3-2 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Flamengo | 2-1 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Grêmio | 3-2 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Flamengo | 3-0 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Grêmio | 2-2 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Flamengo | 0-1 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Jan 28, 2021 | Grêmio | 2-4 | Flamengo | Serie A |
Show all 17 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2020 | Flamengo | 1-1 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Grêmio | 0-1 | Flamengo | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2019 | Flamengo | 5-0 | Grêmio | Copa Libertadores |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Grêmio | 1-1 | Flamengo | Copa Libertadores |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Flamengo | 3-1 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Nov 21, 2018 | Flamengo | 2-0 | Grêmio | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Grêmio | 2-0 | Flamengo | Serie A |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Flamengo and Grêmio meet
Counted over their 17 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 9 of their 17 meetings, and 8 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 53%9 of 17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%14 of 17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%8 of 17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%6 of 17 |
| Flamengo kept a clean sheet | 35%6 of 17 |
| Grêmio kept a clean sheet | 12%2 of 17 |
| Flamengo won at home | 63%5 of 8 |
| Grêmio won at home | 33%3 of 9 |
Flamengo and Grêmio side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Flamengo | Grêmio |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 33 won, 16 drawn, 5 lost in 54 | 15 won, 13 drawn, 21 lost in 49 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Won | 61%33 of 54 | 31%15 of 49 |
| Drew | 30%16 of 54 | 27%13 of 49 |
| Lost | 9%5 of 54 | 43%21 of 49 |
| Both teams scored | 52%28 of 54 | 51%25 of 49 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%45 of 54 | 71%35 of 49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%30 of 54 | 45%22 of 49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%13 of 54 | 24%12 of 49 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 44%24 of 54 | 29%14 of 49 |
| Did not score | 9%5 of 54 | 31%15 of 49 |
Flamengo and Grêmio: the last five results
Flamengo
- Won4-1Away against Vasco da GamaOct 29, 2026
- Won3-2Home against Atlético MineiroOct 26, 2026
- Drew0-0Home against EstudiantesOct 23, 2026
- Won3-0Away against BahiaOct 18, 2026
- Drew0-0Away against EstudiantesOct 16, 2026
Flamengo goals first.
Grêmio
- Won2-0Home against Athletico PROct 30, 2026
- Won1-0Away against CoritibaOct 26, 2026
- Lost2-4Home against CruzeiroOct 18, 2026
- Drew1-1Home against InternacionalOct 11, 2026
- Drew1-1Away against RemoOct 7, 2026
Grêmio goals first.
Flamengo and Grêmio in the table
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Flamengo score | 92% |
| Grêmio score | 51% |
| Flamengo score 2 or more | 73% |
| Grêmio score 2 or more | 17% |
| Flamengo keep a clean sheet | 49% |
| Grêmio keep a clean sheet | 8% |
Questions about Flamengo vs Grêmio
How many times have Flamengo and Grêmio met?
17 times on record. Flamengo won 9, Grêmio won 4 and 4 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Flamengo and Grêmio meet?
Both teams scored in 9 of their 17 meetings on record (53%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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