Ligue 1: predictions, standings and stats
The numbers behind Ligue 1
Every table on this page is a past result over the dates shown, not a prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
Season 2026/2027
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GF:GA | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 21:10 | 20 | WonWonWonWonWon |
| 2 | LOSC Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12:6 | 18 | LostWonDrewDrewWon |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 15:7 | 17 | WonLostWonLostWon |
| 4 | Paris | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16:10 | 17 | WonLostWonLostWon |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 20:19 | 16 | LostWonLostWonLost |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 20:13 | 15 | LostWonWonWonWon |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12:10 | 15 | WonDrewLostDrewLost |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13:12 | 14 | WonWonLostWonWon |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 16:13 | 13 | LostWonWonWonLost |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7:6 | 12 | DrewLostWonWonDrew |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 12:13 | 10 | WonDrewWonDrewLost |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 17:19 | 10 | LostLostLostLostWon |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14:12 | 9 | LostLostWonDrewLost |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 13:23 | 10 | WonLostWonDrewLost |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 9:17 | 8 | WonLostLostDrewLost |
| 16 | Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 7:16 | 8 | LostLostLostDrewWon |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 11:18 | 7 | WonLostLostDrewLost |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 9:20 | 2 | LostLostLostLostLost |
Ligue 1 next matches
Ligue 1 results: every club ranked by matches won
| Paris Saint-Germain | 68%34 of 50 | 16%8 of 50 | 16%8 of 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 58%21 of 36 | 11%4 of 36 | 31%11 of 36 |
| Rennes | 58%21 of 36 | 14%5 of 36 | 28%10 of 36 |
| Lyon | 51%24 of 47 | 19%9 of 47 | 30%14 of 47 |
| LOSC Lille | 47%21 of 45 | 18%8 of 45 | 36%16 of 45 |
| Monaco | 47%20 of 43 | 23%10 of 43 | 30%13 of 43 |
| Marseille | 45%18 of 40 | 10%4 of 40 | 45%18 of 40 |
| Strasbourg | 42%18 of 43 | 21%9 of 43 | 37%16 of 43 |
| Lorient | 38%12 of 32 | 38%12 of 32 | 25%8 of 32 |
| Paris | 38%12 of 32 | 34%11 of 32 | 28%9 of 32 |
| Brest | 31%10 of 32 | 28%9 of 32 | 41%13 of 32 |
| Toulouse | 31%10 of 32 | 31%10 of 32 | 38%12 of 32 |
| Auxerre | 28%9 of 32 | 31%10 of 32 | 41%13 of 32 |
| Angers SCO | 27%9 of 33 | 21%7 of 33 | 52%17 of 33 |
| Troyes | 22%2 of 9 | 22%2 of 9 | 56%5 of 9 |
| Nice | 19%7 of 37 | 30%11 of 37 | 51%19 of 37 |
| Le Havre | 12%4 of 33 | 39%13 of 33 | 48%16 of 33 |
| Le Mans | 11%1 of 9 | 44%4 of 9 | 44%4 of 9 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Match result (1X2), Draw, Double chance
Ligue 1 goals: every club ranked by matches over 2.5
Over 2.5 Goals in Ligue 1
Ligue 1 over 2.5 goals rate across 2,796 fixtures: 52.43%. Average goals per match: 2.75. Just over half of Ligue 1 matches produce 3 or more goals. The market is close to neutral here, making the RWI signal the key input for any specific fixture.
| Rennes | 75%27 of 36 | 83%30 of 36 | 50%18 of 36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 74%37 of 50 | 88%44 of 50 | 44%22 of 50 |
| Lens | 69%25 of 36 | 83%30 of 36 | 36%13 of 36 |
| Le Mans | 67%6 of 9 | 100%9 of 9 | 44%4 of 9 |
| Strasbourg | 65%28 of 43 | 81%35 of 43 | 33%14 of 43 |
| Monaco | 63%27 of 43 | 74%32 of 43 | 47%20 of 43 |
| Marseille | 60%24 of 40 | 78%31 of 40 | 40%16 of 40 |
| Paris | 56%18 of 32 | 69%22 of 32 | 31%10 of 32 |
| Lyon | 55%26 of 47 | 79%37 of 47 | 28%13 of 47 |
| Nice | 54%20 of 37 | 76%28 of 37 | 32%12 of 37 |
| Auxerre | 53%17 of 32 | 72%23 of 32 | 41%13 of 32 |
| Brest | 53%17 of 32 | 84%27 of 32 | 28%9 of 32 |
| Toulouse | 53%17 of 32 | 69%22 of 32 | 34%11 of 32 |
| Lorient | 41%13 of 32 | 75%24 of 32 | 25%8 of 32 |
| Angers SCO | 36%12 of 33 | 67%22 of 33 | 21%7 of 33 |
| Le Havre | 33%11 of 33 | 64%21 of 33 | 18%6 of 33 |
| LOSC Lille | 33%15 of 45 | 58%26 of 45 | 18%8 of 45 |
| Troyes | 33%3 of 9 | 78%7 of 9 | 22%2 of 9 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Over 2.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals
Ligue 1 both teams to score: every club ranked
BTTS in Ligue 1
Ligue 1 BTTS rate across 2,796 fixtures: 53.79%. Average goals per match: 2.75. Over half of Ligue 1 matches produce a BTTS result, comparable to the Premier League and Serie A. The model uses Ligue 1-specific priors that account for the variance across the table.
| Le Mans | 78%7 of 9 |
|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 67%29 of 43 |
| Monaco | 63%27 of 43 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 62%31 of 50 |
| Rennes | 58%21 of 36 |
| Nice | 57%21 of 37 |
| Auxerre | 56%18 of 32 |
| Brest | 56%18 of 32 |
| Paris | 56%18 of 32 |
| Lens | 56%20 of 36 |
| Le Havre | 52%17 of 33 |
| Lyon | 51%24 of 47 |
| Lorient | 50%16 of 32 |
| Marseille | 48%19 of 40 |
| Toulouse | 47%15 of 32 |
| Angers SCO | 42%14 of 33 |
| LOSC Lille | 33%15 of 45 |
| Troyes | 33%3 of 9 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Both teams to score
Ligue 1 clean sheets: every club ranked
Clean Sheet Predictions in Ligue 1
Ligue 1 clean sheet rate: 26.66% per team per fixture across 2,796 matches, or 0.53 clean sheets per match. Ligue 1 sits in the middle of the supported leagues for clean sheets, with a rate close to the Premier League and Serie A.
| LOSC Lille | 42%19 of 45 |
|---|---|
| Lyon | 36%17 of 47 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 36%18 of 50 |
| Lorient | 34%11 of 32 |
| Angers SCO | 33%11 of 33 |
| Troyes | 33%3 of 9 |
| Rennes | 31%11 of 36 |
| Paris | 28%9 of 32 |
| Monaco | 28%12 of 43 |
| Lens | 28%10 of 36 |
| Auxerre | 25%8 of 32 |
| Toulouse | 25%8 of 32 |
| Brest | 22%7 of 32 |
| Marseille | 20%8 of 40 |
| Le Havre | 18%6 of 33 |
| Strasbourg | 14%6 of 43 |
| Nice | 14%5 of 37 |
| Le Mans | 0%0 of 9 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Clean sheet
Ligue 1 in numbers
Counted across 2,796 Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- A team keeps a clean sheet
- 27%
- Matches end in a draw
- 25%
- Home wins
- 43%
- Goals per match
- 2.75
Every Ligue 1 club
Questions about Ligue 1
How are the Ligue 1 forecasts made?
Each forecast is a model estimate built from calibrated probabilities and pre-match context: the expected goal difference (RWI), recent results, squad value and recent meetings. Every probability is tied to one fixture and the time it was produced.
Do the forecasts include draws in Ligue 1?
Yes. A draw is a real outcome in Ligue 1, so the full split always shows it. On a tight match you will see the draw sitting high, because that is what the numbers say.
What is the RWI?
RWI is the expected goal difference signal behind the soccer forecasts. It combines each team's attacking and defensive strength, the lineups, and how the league scores.
Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?
No. SportHoot publishes probabilities and statistics and explains what they mean. A probability is an estimate, not a promise, and you make your own decisions.
How do the forecasts compare to bookmakers?
The forecasting model was tested against bookmaker prices across several seasons and lands close to them overall. One deliberate difference is draws: the model shows a draw as the likeliest outcome more often than bookmakers do, because draws happen in about one match in four.
Is SportHoot affiliated with Ligue 1?
No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Ligue 1 or any league named on the site. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.
Why do you keep losing Ligue 1 bets you were sure about?
You did your homework and backed the favorite. But 25% of Ligue 1 matches end level and only 52% clear 2.5 goals, so the game you read as a comfortable win slips into a tight draw. You could not tell if it was a bad read or just luck. I spent years stuck right there.
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