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Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes: prediction and head-to-head

The numbers behind Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes

Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes have met 17 times on record: Minnesota United won 10, SJ Earthquakes won 3 and 4 were drawn.

The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.

Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes prediction

Major League Soccer ·

Minnesota United 52% to win

  • Minnesota United win52%
  • Draw22%
  • SJ Earthquakes win25%

Expected goals: Minnesota United 1.9, SJ Earthquakes 1.3

Forecast updated 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.

Match preview

Minnesota United have the edge at 52%, but this is far from one-sided: the draw is at 22% and SJ Earthquakes at 25%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 63%, and expected goals of 1.9 for Minnesota United and 1.3 for SJ Earthquakes. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.

Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes: the next meeting

Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes

· Major League Soccer · Minnesota United at home

Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes head-to-head

Every meeting on record, Mar 4, 2018 to Aug 23, 2026

17 meetings: Minnesota United won 10, SJ Earthquakes won 3 and 4 were drawn. Goals: Minnesota United 37, SJ Earthquakes 20.

Meetings between Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes: date, home side, score, away side and competition
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SJ Earthquakes1-5Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025Minnesota United4-1SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025SJ Earthquakes0-1Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024SJ Earthquakes1-2Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024Minnesota United2-0SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023Minnesota United1-1SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023SJ Earthquakes1-1Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022SJ Earthquakes2-0Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Mar 20, 2022Minnesota United1-0SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Aug 18, 2021SJ Earthquakes1-1Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Show all 17 meetings
Earlier meetings between Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
Jul 4, 2021Minnesota United2-2SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Aug 2, 2020SJ Earthquakes1-3Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Mar 8, 2020SJ Earthquakes2-5Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jul 4, 2019Minnesota United3-1SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Mar 10, 2019SJ Earthquakes0-3Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer
May 12, 2018Minnesota United1-3SJ EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Mar 4, 2018SJ Earthquakes3-2Minnesota UnitedMajor League Soccer

Scores are written home side first.

What has happened when Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes meet

Counted over their 17 meetings on record

Both teams scored in 12 of their 17 meetings, and 10 had more than 2.5 goals.

Counts over the meetings between Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes
ResultMeetings
Both teams scored71%12 of 17
Over 1.5 goals88%15 of 17
Over 2.5 goals59%10 of 17
Over 3.5 goals47%8 of 17
Minnesota United kept a clean sheet24%4 of 17
SJ Earthquakes kept a clean sheet6%1 of 17
Minnesota United won at home57%4 of 7
SJ Earthquakes won at home20%2 of 10

Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes side by side

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes: record, goals per game and results on each market over each club's last 12 months
ResultMinnesota UnitedSJ Earthquakes
Record11 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 3914 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 33
Goals scored per game1.61.7
Goals conceded per game1.71.5
Won28%11 of 3942%14 of 33
Drew33%13 of 3930%10 of 33
Lost38%15 of 3927%9 of 33
Both teams scored72%28 of 3967%22 of 33
Over 1.5 goals77%30 of 3982%27 of 33
Over 2.5 goals67%26 of 3958%19 of 33
Over 3.5 goals49%19 of 3945%15 of 33
Kept a clean sheet18%7 of 3921%7 of 33
Did not score21%8 of 3915%5 of 33

Everything on each club: Minnesota United, SJ Earthquakes

Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes: the last five results

Minnesota United

  1. Won3-1Away against Los Angeles FCNov 2, 2026
  2. Won3-1Home against Sporting KCOct 29, 2026
  3. Drew0-0Away against Houston DynamoOct 25, 2026
  4. Won3-2Home against St. Louis CityOct 17, 2026
  5. Drew2-2Away against Colorado RapidsOct 15, 2026

Minnesota United goals first.

SJ Earthquakes

  1. Won2-1Home against Real Salt LakeOct 31, 2026
  2. Drew2-2Home against Colorado RapidsOct 29, 2026
  3. Lost0-3Away against DallasOct 25, 2026
  4. Drew1-1Home against Nashville SCOct 18, 2026
  5. Drew1-1Away against Real Salt LakeOct 15, 2026

SJ Earthquakes goals first.

Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets

The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.

MarketEstimate
Both teams score62%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Minnesota United score86%
SJ Earthquakes score72%
Minnesota United score 2 or more58%
SJ Earthquakes score 2 or more37%
Minnesota United keep a clean sheet28%
SJ Earthquakes keep a clean sheet14%

Questions about Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes

How many times have Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes met?

17 times on record. Minnesota United won 10, SJ Earthquakes won 3 and 4 were drawn.

How often do both teams score when Minnesota United and SJ Earthquakes meet?

Both teams scored in 12 of their 17 meetings on record (71%).

How is this prediction made?

It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 3 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.

Is this a tip?

No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.

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