Porto vs Napoli: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Porto vs Napoli
Porto and Napoli have no meeting on record here yet. Their first is on the schedule.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Porto vs Napoli prediction
Champions League ·
Porto 55% to win
- Porto win55%
- Draw21%
- Napoli win25%
Expected goals: Porto 2, Napoli 1.3
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Porto have the edge at 55%, but this is far from one-sided: the draw is at 21% and Napoli at 25%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 66%, and expected goals of 2 for Porto and 1.3 for Napoli. Porto will be without William Gomes and Vasco José Cardoso Sousa. Napoli will be without Stanislav Lobotka, Benoît Badiashile and Alisson Santos. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Porto
- William Gomes: Injured
- Vasco José Cardoso Sousa: Injured
Napoli
- Stanislav Lobotka: Injured, expected back Dec 8
- Benoît Badiashile: Injured, expected back Nov 24
- Alisson Santos: Injured, expected back Nov 22
- David Neres: Injured, expected back Nov 9
- Costantino Favasuli: Injured, expected back Nov 29
- Alessandro Buongiorno: Injured, expected back Dec 31
Porto vs Napoli: the next meeting
Porto vs Napoli
· Champions League · Porto at home
Porto and Napoli side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Porto | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 35 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 47 | 22 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 46 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Won | 74%35 of 47 | 48%22 of 46 |
| Drew | 13%6 of 47 | 22%10 of 46 |
| Lost | 13%6 of 47 | 30%14 of 46 |
| Both teams scored | 47%22 of 47 | 48%22 of 46 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%36 of 47 | 74%34 of 46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%24 of 47 | 50%23 of 46 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%11 of 47 | 28%13 of 46 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 47%22 of 47 | 35%16 of 46 |
| Did not score | 6%3 of 47 | 24%11 of 46 |
Porto and Napoli: the last five results
Porto
- Won4-0Home against EstorilOct 31, 2026
- Won1-0Away against Gil VicenteOct 24, 2026
- Lost0-1Home against PSVOct 20, 2026
- Lost2-3Away against Real BetisOct 14, 2026
- Won2-1Away against MarítimoOct 10, 2026
Porto goals first.
Napoli
- Lost0-2Away against JuventusNov 1, 2026
- Won4-1Away against MonzaOct 28, 2026
- Drew3-3Home against RomaOct 24, 2026
- Won4-3Home against Bodø / GlimtOct 20, 2026
- Lost0-1Away against VeneziaOct 17, 2026
Napoli goals first.
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Porto score | 87% |
| Napoli score | 73% |
| Porto score 2 or more | 61% |
| Napoli score 2 or more | 39% |
| Porto keep a clean sheet | 27% |
| Napoli keep a clean sheet | 13% |
Questions about Porto vs Napoli
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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