Valencia vs Real Madrid: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Valencia vs Real Madrid
Valencia and Real Madrid have met 16 times on record: Valencia won 4, Real Madrid won 10 and 2 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
La Liga ·
Real Madrid 63% to win
- Valencia win15%
- Draw22%
- Real Madrid win63%
Expected goals: Valencia 0.8, Real Madrid 1.9
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Real Madrid go in as favourites: the model gives them a 63% chance of winning, with the draw at 22% and Valencia at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is at 53%, and expected goals of 0.8 for Valencia and 1.9 for Real Madrid. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: the next meeting
Valencia vs Real Madrid
· La Liga · Valencia at home
Valencia vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Dec 1, 2018 to Feb 8, 2026
16 meetings: Valencia won 4, Real Madrid won 10 and 2 were drawn. Goals: Valencia 16, Real Madrid 33.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Valencia | 0-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Real Madrid | 4-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Valencia | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Valencia | 2-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Real Madrid | 5-1 | Valencia | La Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Valencia | 1-0 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Real Madrid | 1-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Valencia | 1-2 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
Show all 16 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Valencia | 4-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Jun 18, 2020 | Real Madrid | 3-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Valencia | 1-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Valencia | 2-1 | Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Valencia | La Liga |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Valencia and Real Madrid meet
Counted over their 16 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 9 of their 16 meetings, and 10 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 56%9 of 16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%14 of 16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%10 of 16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%5 of 16 |
| Valencia kept a clean sheet | 6%1 of 16 |
| Real Madrid kept a clean sheet | 38%6 of 16 |
| Valencia won at home | 38%3 of 8 |
| Real Madrid won at home | 88%7 of 8 |
Valencia and Real Madrid side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 42 | 36 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 54 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Won | 36%15 of 42 | 67%36 of 54 |
| Drew | 26%11 of 42 | 9%5 of 54 |
| Lost | 38%16 of 42 | 24%13 of 54 |
| Both teams scored | 55%23 of 42 | 65%35 of 54 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%30 of 42 | 87%47 of 54 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%16 of 42 | 67%36 of 54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%10 of 42 | 35%19 of 54 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 29%12 of 42 | 26%14 of 54 |
| Did not score | 21%9 of 42 | 11%6 of 54 |
Everything on each club: Valencia, Real Madrid
Valencia and Real Madrid: the last five results
Valencia
- Won1-0Away against ElcheNov 1, 2026
- Lost1-2Home against VillarrealOct 24, 2026
- Drew0-0Home against Athletic ClubOct 17, 2026
- Drew2-2Away against Racing SantanderOct 11, 2026
- Lost2-3Home against Real SociedadSep 20, 2026
Valencia goals first.
Real Madrid
- Won3-0Away against Racing SantanderNov 1, 2026
- Won2-1Away against BarcelonaOct 25, 2026
- Won4-1Home against RB LeipzigOct 21, 2026
- Won4-1Home against SevillaOct 18, 2026
- Won4-3Away against RomaOct 14, 2026
Real Madrid goals first.
Valencia and Real Madrid in the table
| Club | # | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 27 |
| Valencia | 19 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Valencia score | 57% |
| Real Madrid score | 86% |
| Valencia score 2 or more | 21% |
| Real Madrid score 2 or more | 59% |
| Valencia keep a clean sheet | 14% |
| Real Madrid keep a clean sheet | 43% |
Questions about Valencia vs Real Madrid
How many times have Valencia and Real Madrid met?
16 times on record. Valencia won 4, Real Madrid won 10 and 2 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Valencia and Real Madrid meet?
Both teams scored in 9 of their 16 meetings on record (56%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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