Lens vs Marseille: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Lens vs Marseille
Lens and Marseille have met 12 times on record: Lens won 7, Marseille won 4 and 1 were drawn.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Lens vs Marseille prediction
Ligue 1 ·
Lens 46% to win
- Lens win46%
- Draw26%
- Marseille win28%
Expected goals: Lens 1.5, Marseille 1.2
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Lens have the edge at 46%, but this is far from one-sided: the draw is at 26% and Marseille at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is at 53%, and expected goals of 1.5 for Lens and 1.2 for Marseille. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Lens vs Marseille: the next meeting
Lens vs Marseille
· Ligue 1 · Lens at home
Lens vs Marseille head-to-head
Every meeting on record, Jan 20, 2021 to Jan 24, 2026
12 meetings: Lens won 7, Marseille won 4 and 1 were drawn. Goals: Lens 16, Marseille 16.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Marseille | 3-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Lens | 2-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Marseille | 0-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lens | 1-3 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Marseille | 2-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lens | 1-0 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| May 6, 2023 | Lens | 2-1 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Marseille | 0-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Lens | 0-2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Marseille | 2-3 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
Show all 12 meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2021 | Lens | 2-2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Marseille | 0-1 | Lens | Ligue 1 |
Scores are written home side first.
What has happened when Lens and Marseille meet
Counted over their 12 meetings on record
Both teams scored in 7 of their 12 meetings, and 7 had more than 2.5 goals.
| Result | Meetings |
|---|---|
| Both teams scored | 58%7 of 12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%8 of 12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%7 of 12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%4 of 12 |
| Lens kept a clean sheet | 33%4 of 12 |
| Marseille kept a clean sheet | 8%1 of 12 |
| Lens won at home | 50%3 of 6 |
| Marseille won at home | 33%2 of 6 |
Lens and Marseille side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Lens | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 21 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost in 36 | 18 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 40 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Won | 58%21 of 36 | 45%18 of 40 |
| Drew | 11%4 of 36 | 10%4 of 40 |
| Lost | 31%11 of 36 | 45%18 of 40 |
| Both teams scored | 56%20 of 36 | 48%19 of 40 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%30 of 36 | 78%31 of 40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%25 of 36 | 60%24 of 40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%13 of 36 | 40%16 of 40 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 28%10 of 36 | 20%8 of 40 |
| Did not score | 17%6 of 36 | 33%13 of 40 |
Lens and Marseille: the last five results
Lens
- Lost0-1Away against LOSC LilleOct 30, 2026
- Won2-1Home against ParisOct 24, 2026
- Lost0-3Away against Club BruggeOct 21, 2026
- Won3-1Away against TroyesOct 17, 2026
- Lost0-2Home against Sporting CPOct 13, 2026
Lens goals first.
Marseille
- Won2-0Home against ToulouseNov 1, 2026
- Won4-3Home against Le HavreOct 25, 2026
- Lost0-1Away against Sturm GrazOct 22, 2026
- Won5-2Away against Angers SCOOct 18, 2026
- Lost0-1Home against Olympiacos F.C.Oct 15, 2026
Marseille goals first.
Lens and Marseille in the table
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Lens score | 80% |
| Marseille score | 70% |
| Lens score 2 or more | 47% |
| Marseille score 2 or more | 34% |
| Lens keep a clean sheet | 30% |
| Marseille keep a clean sheet | 20% |
Questions about Lens vs Marseille
How many times have Lens and Marseille met?
12 times on record. Lens won 7, Marseille won 4 and 1 were drawn.
How often do both teams score when Lens and Marseille meet?
Both teams scored in 7 of their 12 meetings on record (58%).
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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