Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain
Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain have no meeting on record here yet. Their first is on the schedule.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
Champions League ·
Paris Saint-Germain 67% to win
- Villarreal win17%
- Draw16%
- Paris Saint-Germain win67%
Expected goals: Villarreal 1.3, Paris Saint-Germain 2.6
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Paris Saint-Germain go in as favourites: the model gives them a 67% chance of winning, with the draw at 16% and Villarreal at 17%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 75%, and expected goals of 1.3 for Villarreal and 2.6 for Paris Saint-Germain. Villarreal will be without Alassane Diatta, Juan Foyth and Ilias Akhomach. Paris Saint-Germain will be without Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Ousmane Dembélé. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Villarreal
- Alassane Diatta: Injured, expected back Nov 8
- Juan Foyth: Injured, expected back Nov 8
- Ilias Akhomach: Injured, expected back Nov 8
Paris Saint-Germain
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Injured, expected back May 30
- Marquinhos: Injured
- Ousmane Dembélé: Injured
- Nuno Mendes: Injured
- Alessandro Longoni: Injured
Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: the next meeting
Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain
· Champions League · Villarreal at home
Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Villarreal | Paris Saint-Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 20 won, 8 drawn, 21 lost in 49 | 34 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Won | 41%20 of 49 | 68%34 of 50 |
| Drew | 16%8 of 49 | 16%8 of 50 |
| Lost | 43%21 of 49 | 16%8 of 50 |
| Both teams scored | 65%32 of 49 | 62%31 of 50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%41 of 49 | 88%44 of 50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%32 of 49 | 74%37 of 50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%21 of 49 | 44%22 of 50 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 12%6 of 49 | 36%18 of 50 |
| Did not score | 27%13 of 49 | 4%2 of 50 |
Everything on each club: Villarreal, Paris Saint-Germain
Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain: the last five results
Villarreal
- Lost0-1Home against EspanyolOct 30, 2026
- Won5-0Away against ManacorOct 27, 2026
- Won2-1Away against ValenciaOct 24, 2026
- Lost3-4Away against LiverpoolOct 20, 2026
- Drew0-0Home against ElcheOct 17, 2026
Villarreal goals first.
Paris Saint-Germain
- Won5-1Away against Le HavreOct 30, 2026
- Won2-0Home against LyonOct 26, 2026
- Won4-2Home against BarcelonaOct 20, 2026
- Won3-1Away against StrasbourgOct 17, 2026
- Won4-2Away against Manchester CityOct 14, 2026
Paris Saint-Germain goals first.
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| Villarreal score | 71% |
| Paris Saint-Germain score | 93% |
| Villarreal score 2 or more | 37% |
| Paris Saint-Germain score 2 or more | 75% |
| Villarreal keep a clean sheet | 7% |
| Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet | 29% |
Questions about Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions.