'How bad can it get, and how good'
A projection is one number. A floor and a ceiling say how far the week can swing either way, which is what decides most start or sit calls.
Reading a floor and a ceiling
A floor is the score a player falls below about 1 week in 10, and a ceiling the score he goes above about 1 week in 10. Between them sit 8 weeks in 10.
Two players can have the same projection and very different ranges. A possession receiver has a high floor and a low ceiling; a deep threat the opposite.
When you are the favourite in your matchup, the higher floor protects the win. When you need a big week to catch up, the higher ceiling gives you the chance.
Floor and ceiling, answered
Is the floor the worst a player can score?
No. It is a bad week, not the worst week. About 1 week in 10 comes in lower.
Learn the method
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