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Los Angeles Rams: predictions, props and stats

The numbers behind the Rams

The Rams are 4-4 through week 8, scoring 24.3 points a game and allowing 21.0.

Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.

Next game

Rams at Commanders

· Week 9 · Away

Home 33% · Away 66%

Washington Commanders

Prediction for this game

Results and scoring

This season, through week 8

4-4, with 24.3 points scored and 21.0 allowed a game.

Rams games, with the score
WkOpponentScoreResult
8vsChargers24-9Won
7@Raiders35-21Won
6vsCardinals16-18Lost
5vsBills34-37 OTLost
4@Eagles24-20Won
3@Broncos26-30Lost
2vsGiants28-6Won
1vs49ers7-27Lost
Rams points a game
StatThis seasonSince 2000
Points scored a game24.322.3
Points allowed a game21.023.1
Average margin+3.3-0.8
Went to overtime13%1 of 86%28 of 452

Rams against the spread

Since 2000 the Rams have won by more than 3.5 points in 171 of 452 games, with an average margin of -0.8.

Rams games against each spread
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5)38%3 of 827%122 of 452
Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5)50%4 of 838%171 of 452
Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5)75%6 of 860%270 of 452
Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5)88%7 of 870%317 of 452

Game totals in Rams games

Since 2000, Rams games have gone over 45.5 points in 219 of 452.

Rams games over each total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Over 30.5 points100%8 of 883%376 of 452
Over 42.5 points50%4 of 858%260 of 452
Over 45.5 points38%3 of 848%219 of 452
Over 48.5 points38%3 of 840%182 of 452
Over 50.5 points38%3 of 835%156 of 452

Rams wins, home and away

Since 2000 the Rams have won 220 of 452 games: 120 of 224 at home and 100 of 228 away.

Rams wins
StatThis seasonSince 2000
All games50%4 of 849%220 of 452
At home40%2 of 554%120 of 224
Away67%2 of 344%100 of 228

Rams points against team totals

Since 2000 the Rams have scored more than 20.5 points in 235 of 452 games.

Rams games over each team total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Scored over 14.588%7 of 873%330 of 452
Scored over 20.575%6 of 852%235 of 452
Scored over 24.550%4 of 840%181 of 452
Scored over 27.538%3 of 832%145 of 452
Scored over 30.525%2 of 823%106 of 452

Rams passing

This season, through week 8

Rams passers this season
Matthew Stafford82043022146158
Stetson Bennett2231300

Rams rushing

This season, through week 8

Rams rushers this season
Kyren WilliamsRB8112548657%
Blake CorumRB875389337%
Matthew StaffordQB862601%
Puka NacuaWR652113%
Ronnie RiversRB251909%
Davis AllenTE81001%
Stetson BennettQB21900%

Rams receiving

This season, through week 8

Rams receivers this season, with their share of the team's targets
Puka NacuaWR7456565334%
Davante AdamsWR4930480421%
Kyren WilliamsRB4233242113%
Tyler HigbeeTE3427274111%
Konata MumpfieldWR21914217%
Colby ParkinsonTE1914103110%
Davis AllenTE16129126%
Blake CorumRB15109915%

Who scores for the Rams

This season, through week 8

Rams rushing and receiving touchdowns this season
Kyren WilliamsRB617
Davante AdamsWR044
Blake CorumRB314
Puka NacuaWR134
Davis AllenTE022
Terrance FergusonTE011
Tyler HigbeeTE011
Konata MumpfieldWR011

Rams fantasy points

This season, through week 8

Rams players' fantasy points, This season, through week 8
Kyren WilliamsRB8150.018.816.714.636.7
Puka NacuaWR6138.623.118.413.837.7
Matthew StaffordQB8132.416.616.616.627.3
Davante AdamsWR6102.017.014.512.039.5
Blake CorumRB882.810.49.79.117.1
Tyler HigbeeTE856.47.15.43.720.2
Davis AllenTE833.14.13.42.618.0
Colby ParkinsonTE630.35.13.92.714.1
Konata MumpfieldWR829.23.73.12.519.3
Terrance FergusonTE319.36.45.34.117.4
Tutu AtwellWR513.32.72.21.77.2
Ronnie RiversRB23.41.71.51.23.4
Jordan WhittingtonWR73.20.50.30.21.8
Stetson BennettQB21.40.70.70.71.4
How the points are scored

What the Rams defense allows

A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.

Passing yards allowed to quarterbacks: 18 of 32222.2
Fewest 178.4Most 259
All 32 defenses against quarterbacks
Rushing yards allowed to running backs: 23 of 3286.2
Fewest 64.8Most 112.2
All 32 defenses against running backs
Receiving yards allowed to wide receivers: 19 of 32134
Fewest 105.3Most 174.9
All 32 defenses against wide receivers
Receiving yards allowed to tight ends: 26 of 3245.6
Fewest 33.6Most 86
All 32 defenses against tight ends

How close the model's projections have been

Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.

Projected and actual, by market
MarketThis seasonPlayer gamesProjectedActualInside the 80% range
Receiving yards, WR2021 to 20254,97955.855.379.2%
Rushing yards, RB2021 to 20253,65652.754.181.2%
Passing yards, QB2022 to 20252,173221.1223.781.2%
Receiving yards, TE2021 to 20251,17947.646.782.1%
See the full accuracy table

Questions about the Rams

How often do Rams games go over 45.5 points?

In 219 of 452 games since 2000 (48%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.

How often do the Rams win at home?

They have won 120 of 224 home games since 2000 (54%), and 100 of 228 away.

How often do the Rams score more than 20.5 points?

In 235 of 452 games since 2000 (52%).

Are the numbers on this page predictions?

No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.

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