Carolina Panthers: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Panthers
The Panthers are 3-4 through week 8, scoring 25.4 points a game and allowing 27.6.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
3-4, with 25.4 points scored and 27.6 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Packers | 19-27 | Lost |
| 7 | vsBuccaneers | 13-43 | Lost |
| 6 | @Eagles | 25-14 | Won |
| 4 | vsLions | 32-26 | Won |
| 3 | @Browns | 18-21 | Lost |
| 2 | @Falcons | 34-3 | Won |
| 1 | vsBears | 37-59 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 25.4 | 20.8 |
| Points allowed a game | 27.6 | 22.5 |
| Average margin | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 7 | 5%21 of 444 |
Panthers against the spread
Since 2000 the Panthers have won by more than 3.5 points in 155 of 444 games, with an average margin of -1.7.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 29%2 of 7 | 25%112 of 444 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 43%3 of 7 | 35%155 of 444 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 57%4 of 7 | 59%261 of 444 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 57%4 of 7 | 68%302 of 444 |
Game totals in Panthers games
Since 2000, Panthers games have gone over 45.5 points in 186 of 444.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%7 of 7 | 80%353 of 444 |
| Over 42.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 51%225 of 444 |
| Over 45.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 42%186 of 444 |
| Over 48.5 points | 43%3 of 7 | 35%155 of 444 |
| Over 50.5 points | 43%3 of 7 | 29%127 of 444 |
Panthers wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Panthers have won 200 of 444 games: 110 of 220 at home and 90 of 224 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 43%3 of 7 | 45%200 of 444 |
| At home | 33%1 of 3 | 50%110 of 220 |
| Away | 50%2 of 4 | 40%90 of 224 |
Panthers points against team totals
Since 2000 the Panthers have scored more than 20.5 points in 219 of 444 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 86%6 of 7 | 68%302 of 444 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 49%219 of 444 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 33%148 of 444 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 26%114 of 444 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 18%82 of 444 |
Panthers passing
This season, through week 8
| Bryce Young | 7 | 158 | 269 | 1921 | 13 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pickett | 3 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Panthers rushing
This season, through week 8
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 7 | 119 | 540 | 5 | 73% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dillon | RB | 4 | 17 | 43 | 0 | 20% |
| Jonathon Brooks | RB | 2 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 23% |
| Trevor Etienne | RB | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15% |
| Bryce Young | QB | 7 | 6 | 40 | 1 | 0% |
| Anthony Tyus III | RB | 5 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 4% |
| Kenny Pickett | QB | 3 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0% |
| Mitchell Evans | TE | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1% |
Panthers receiving
This season, through week 8
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 66 | 42 | 569 | 2 | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Coker | WR | 44 | 27 | 363 | 3 | 21% |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 26 | 22 | 150 | 2 | 11% |
| Darren Waller | TE | 25 | 15 | 209 | 3 | 10% |
| Tommy Tremble | TE | 24 | 17 | 155 | 2 | 10% |
| John Metchie III | WR | 21 | 12 | 114 | 1 | 10% |
| Mitchell Evans | TE | 12 | 10 | 127 | 0 | 5% |
| Brycen Tremayne | WR | 11 | 7 | 126 | 0 | 4% |
Who scores for the Panthers
This season, through week 8
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 5 | 2 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Waller | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jalen Coker | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tommy Tremble | TE | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| John Metchie III | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bryce Young | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Tyus III | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Panthers fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 7 | 133.0 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 15.9 | 25.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young | QB | 7 | 126.8 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 31.4 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 7 | 106.9 | 15.3 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 45.2 |
| Jalen Coker | WR | 6 | 81.3 | 13.6 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 33.8 |
| Darren Waller | TE | 7 | 53.9 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 18.3 |
| Tommy Tremble | TE | 7 | 44.5 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 20.6 |
| John Metchie III | WR | 6 | 29.4 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 9.9 |
| Mitchell Evans | TE | 7 | 22.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 6.6 |
| Brycen Tremayne | WR | 7 | 19.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 12.3 |
| Jonathon Brooks | RB | 2 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 7.2 |
| Xavier Legette | WR | 2 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 8.4 |
| Anthony Tyus III | RB | 5 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 8.3 |
| AJ Dillon | RB | 4 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Kenny Pickett | QB | 3 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Trevor Etienne | RB | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 4.5 |
What the Panthers defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Panthers
How often do Panthers games go over 45.5 points?
In 186 of 444 games since 2000 (42%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Panthers win at home?
They have won 110 of 220 home games since 2000 (50%), and 90 of 224 away.
How often do the Panthers score more than 20.5 points?
In 219 of 444 games since 2000 (49%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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