Cleveland Browns: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Browns
The Browns are 5-3 through week 8, scoring 17.4 points a game and allowing 21.6.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
5-3, with 17.4 points scored and 21.6 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Steelers | 6-27 | Lost |
| 7 | @Titans | 27-24 | Won |
| 6 | vsRavens | 13-10 | Won |
| 5 | @Jets | 12-17 | Lost |
| 4 | vsSteelers | 27-24 | Won |
| 3 | vsPanthers | 21-18 | Won |
| 2 | @Buccaneers | 23-19 | Won |
| 1 | @Jaguars | 10-34 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 17.4 | 18.1 |
| Points allowed a game | 21.6 | 23.1 |
| Average margin | -4.2 | -5 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 8 | 6%24 of 433 |
Browns against the spread
Since 2000 the Browns have won by more than 3.5 points in 101 of 433 games, with an average margin of -5.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 0%0 of 8 | 15%67 of 433 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 23%101 of 433 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 63%5 of 8 | 47%205 of 433 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 62%270 of 433 |
Game totals in Browns games
Since 2000, Browns games have gone over 45.5 points in 152 of 433.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 77%333 of 433 |
| Over 42.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 44%192 of 433 |
| Over 45.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 35%152 of 433 |
| Over 48.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 27%117 of 433 |
| Over 50.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 23%100 of 433 |
Browns wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Browns have won 150 of 433 games: 92 of 214 at home and 58 of 219 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 63%5 of 8 | 35%150 of 433 |
| At home | 100%3 of 3 | 43%92 of 214 |
| Away | 40%2 of 5 | 26%58 of 219 |
Browns points against team totals
Since 2000 the Browns have scored more than 20.5 points in 161 of 433 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 58%249 of 433 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 37%161 of 433 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 22%95 of 433 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 0%0 of 8 | 15%66 of 433 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 0%0 of 8 | 11%48 of 433 |
Browns passing
This season, through week 8
| Deshaun Watson | 8 | 163 | 250 | 1806 | 7 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shedeur Sanders | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Browns rushing
This season, through week 8
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | 7 | 101 | 342 | 3 | 71% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson | QB | 8 | 44 | 224 | 1 | 12% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 6 | 11 | 72 | 1 | 8% |
| Raheim Sanders | RB | 5 | 9 | 43 | 0 | 9% |
| Audric Estimé | RB | 1 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 39% |
| KC Concepcion | WR | 8 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 5% |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | 3 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 10% |
Browns receiving
This season, through week 8
| Denzel Boston | WR | 54 | 26 | 409 | 3 | 21% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 51 | 35 | 411 | 3 | 20% |
| KC Concepcion | WR | 49 | 33 | 352 | 0 | 20% |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | 24 | 16 | 171 | 0 | 10% |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | 23 | 21 | 134 | 0 | 11% |
| Raheim Sanders | RB | 12 | 11 | 74 | 0 | 9% |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | 11 | 9 | 94 | 0 | 10% |
| Isaiah Bond | WR | 9 | 5 | 86 | 0 | 4% |
Who scores for the Browns
This season, through week 8
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Denzel Boston | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Blake Whiteheart | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Audric Estimé | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Browns fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Deshaun Watson | QB | 8 | 118.6 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 14.8 | 20.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 8 | 90.1 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 24.1 |
| Denzel Boston | WR | 8 | 86.9 | 10.9 | 9.2 | 7.6 | 20.5 |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | 7 | 86.6 | 12.4 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 23.4 |
| KC Concepcion | WR | 8 | 69.6 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 23.2 |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | 8 | 33.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 10.9 |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | 3 | 23.6 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 12.9 |
| Raheim Sanders | RB | 5 | 22.7 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 9.1 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 6 | 18.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 9.5 |
| Blake Whiteheart | TE | 8 | 14.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 8.7 |
| Isaiah Bond | WR | 8 | 13.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 10.4 |
| Audric Estimé | RB | 1 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
| Tylan Wallace | WR | 6 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| Shedeur Sanders | QB | 2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
What the Browns defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Browns
How often do Browns games go over 45.5 points?
In 152 of 433 games since 2000 (35%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Browns win at home?
They have won 92 of 214 home games since 2000 (43%), and 58 of 219 away.
How often do the Browns score more than 20.5 points?
In 161 of 433 games since 2000 (37%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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