New Orleans Saints: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Saints
The Saints are 2-5 through week 8, scoring 23.1 points a game and allowing 27.7.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
2-5, with 23.1 points scored and 27.7 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vsSteelers | 10-16 | Lost |
| 6 | @Giants | 34-27 | Won |
| 5 | vsVikings | 13-23 | Lost |
| 4 | vsFalcons | 24-45 | Lost |
| 3 | vsRaiders | 27-35 | Lost |
| 2 | @Ravens | 24-17 | Won |
| 1 | @Lions | 30-31 OT | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 23.1 | 25 |
| Points allowed a game | 27.7 | 23 |
| Average margin | -4.6 | +2.1 |
| Went to overtime | 14%1 of 7 | 6%25 of 447 |
Saints against the spread
Since 2000 the Saints have won by more than 3.5 points in 188 of 447 games, with an average margin of +2.1.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 31%138 of 447 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 29%2 of 7 | 42%188 of 447 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 43%3 of 7 | 65%292 of 447 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 57%4 of 7 | 76%340 of 447 |
Game totals in Saints games
Since 2000, Saints games have gone over 45.5 points in 241 of 447.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 86%6 of 7 | 88%395 of 447 |
| Over 42.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 63%282 of 447 |
| Over 45.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 54%241 of 447 |
| Over 48.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 46%207 of 447 |
| Over 50.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 41%183 of 447 |
Saints wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Saints have won 243 of 447 games: 125 of 225 at home and 118 of 222 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 29%2 of 7 | 54%243 of 447 |
| At home | 0%0 of 4 | 56%125 of 225 |
| Away | 67%2 of 3 | 53%118 of 222 |
Saints points against team totals
Since 2000 the Saints have scored more than 20.5 points in 292 of 447 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 81%363 of 447 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 65%292 of 447 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 49%217 of 447 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 29%2 of 7 | 40%177 of 447 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 32%143 of 447 |
Saints passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | 7 | 183 | 273 | 1721 | 13 | 6 |
Saints rushing
This season, through week 8
| Kendre Miller | RB | 6 | 57 | 159 | 2 | 42% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 6 | 41 | 125 | 2 | 31% |
| Travis Etienne | RB | 3 | 31 | 128 | 0 | 41% |
| Tyler Shough | QB | 7 | 22 | 113 | 2 | 8% |
| CJ Donaldson | RB | 7 | 17 | 81 | 0 | 11% |
| Barion Brown | WR | 6 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 2% |
Saints receiving
This season, through week 8
| Chris Olave | WR | 71 | 49 | 636 | 2 | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 48 | 33 | 348 | 3 | 19% |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 37 | 26 | 255 | 3 | 14% |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 27 | 22 | 133 | 1 | 13% |
| Bryce Lance | WR | 23 | 9 | 78 | 1 | 9% |
| Noah Fant | TE | 16 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 6% |
| Kendre Miller | RB | 13 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 6% |
| Travis Etienne | RB | 13 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 9% |
Who scores for the Saints
This season, through week 8
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Noah Fant | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Kendre Miller | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Chris Olave | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyler Shough | QB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryce Lance | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Saints fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Tyler Shough | QB | 7 | 126.1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 27.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR | 7 | 124.6 | 17.8 | 14.3 | 10.8 | 28.2 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 7 | 85.8 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 7.5 | 19.9 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 7 | 67.5 | 9.6 | 7.8 | 5.9 | 23.3 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 6 | 65.8 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 7.3 | 22.8 |
| Kendre Miller | RB | 6 | 38.6 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 9.0 |
| Noah Fant | TE | 6 | 37.4 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 19.3 |
| Travis Etienne | RB | 3 | 30.9 | 10.3 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 14.8 |
| Bryce Lance | WR | 7 | 22.8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 8.9 |
| CJ Donaldson | RB | 7 | 11.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 |
| Barion Brown | WR | 6 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 8.7 |
| Oscar Delp | TE | 6 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | 4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 |
What the Saints defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Saints
How often do Saints games go over 45.5 points?
In 241 of 447 games since 2000 (54%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Saints win at home?
They have won 125 of 225 home games since 2000 (56%), and 118 of 222 away.
How often do the Saints score more than 20.5 points?
In 292 of 447 games since 2000 (65%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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