Cincinnati Bengals: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Bengals
The Bengals are 5-2 through week 8, scoring 29.4 points a game and allowing 22.6.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
5-2, with 29.4 points scored and 22.6 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsTitans | 43-36 OT | Won |
| 7 | @Ravens | 35-13 | Won |
| 5 | @Dolphins | 31-24 | Won |
| 4 | vsJaguars | 17-22 | Lost |
| 3 | @Steelers | 27-30 | Lost |
| 2 | @Texans | 20-6 | Won |
| 1 | vsBuccaneers | 33-27 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 29.4 | 21.6 |
| Points allowed a game | 22.6 | 22.7 |
| Average margin | +6.9 | -1.1 |
| Went to overtime | 14%1 of 7 | 6%27 of 441 |
Bengals against the spread
Since 2000 the Bengals have won by more than 3.5 points in 165 of 441 games, with an average margin of -1.1.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 29%2 of 7 | 25%111 of 441 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 71%5 of 7 | 37%165 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 59%262 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 100%7 of 7 | 71%315 of 441 |
Game totals in Bengals games
Since 2000, Bengals games have gone over 45.5 points in 182 of 441.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 86%6 of 7 | 83%364 of 441 |
| Over 42.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 53%232 of 441 |
| Over 45.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 41%182 of 441 |
| Over 48.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 33%145 of 441 |
| Over 50.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 30%133 of 441 |
Bengals wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Bengals have won 205 of 441 games: 115 of 220 at home and 90 of 221 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 71%5 of 7 | 46%205 of 441 |
| At home | 67%2 of 3 | 52%115 of 220 |
| Away | 75%3 of 4 | 41%90 of 221 |
Bengals points against team totals
Since 2000 the Bengals have scored more than 20.5 points in 229 of 441 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%7 of 7 | 74%326 of 441 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 52%229 of 441 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 35%153 of 441 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 26%114 of 441 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 23%100 of 441 |
Bengals passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 7 | 195 | 268 | 2115 | 20 | 6 |
Bengals rushing
This season, through week 8
| Chase Brown | RB | 7 | 94 | 340 | 1 | 69% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaje Perine | RB | 7 | 35 | 136 | 1 | 24% |
| Joe Burrow | QB | 7 | 16 | 74 | 2 | 5% |
| Tahj Brooks | RB | 7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2% |
| Dohnte Meyers | WR | 7 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1% |
Bengals receiving
This season, through week 8
| Tee Higgins | WR | 62 | 43 | 726 | 4 | 23% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 61 | 43 | 492 | 6 | 24% |
| Chase Brown | RB | 42 | 36 | 189 | 0 | 16% |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | 24 | 17 | 241 | 6 | 9% |
| Dohnte Meyers | WR | 23 | 16 | 175 | 0 | 8% |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 11 | 8 | 70 | 1 | 4% |
| Erick All | TE | 9 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 5% |
| Drew Sample | TE | 8 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 4% |
Who scores for the Bengals
This season, through week 8
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 0 | 6 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Gesicki | TE | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| Tee Higgins | WR | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Joe Burrow | QB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Chase Brown | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tanner Hudson | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Drew Sample | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Bengals fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Joe Burrow | QB | 7 | 170.0 | 24.3 | 24.3 | 24.3 | 39.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins | WR | 7 | 139.6 | 19.9 | 16.9 | 13.8 | 37.5 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 7 | 128.2 | 18.3 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 31.1 |
| Chase Brown | RB | 7 | 90.9 | 13.0 | 10.4 | 7.8 | 19.1 |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | 7 | 77.1 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 18.8 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 7 | 40.6 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 15.8 |
| Dohnte Meyers | WR | 7 | 34.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 15.2 |
| Drew Sample | TE | 6 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 10.4 |
| Tanner Hudson | TE | 4 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 10.4 |
| Erick All | TE | 6 | 13.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5.6 |
| Mitchell Tinsley | WR | 3 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 7.9 |
| Jack Endries | TE | 4 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 7.1 |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR | 2 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Colbie Young | WR | 4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 |
| Tahj Brooks | RB | 7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
What the Bengals defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Bengals
How often do Bengals games go over 45.5 points?
In 182 of 441 games since 2000 (41%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Bengals win at home?
They have won 115 of 220 home games since 2000 (52%), and 90 of 221 away.
How often do the Bengals score more than 20.5 points?
In 229 of 441 games since 2000 (52%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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