Baltimore Ravens: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Ravens
The Ravens are 4-4 through week 8, scoring 22.4 points a game and allowing 25.4.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
4-4, with 22.4 points scored and 25.4 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Bills | 10-36 | Lost |
| 7 | vsBengals | 13-35 | Lost |
| 6 | @Browns | 10-13 | Lost |
| 5 | @Falcons | 30-23 OT | Won |
| 4 | vsTitans | 24-18 | Won |
| 3 | @Cowboys | 34-31 | Won |
| 2 | vsSaints | 17-24 | Lost |
| 1 | @Colts | 41-23 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 22.4 | 23.1 |
| Points allowed a game | 25.4 | 18.8 |
| Average margin | -3 | +4.4 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 7%32 of 461 |
Ravens against the spread
Since 2000 the Ravens have won by more than 3.5 points in 214 of 461 games, with an average margin of +4.4.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 36%165 of 461 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 46%214 of 461 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 63%5 of 8 | 72%333 of 461 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 83%384 of 461 |
Game totals in Ravens games
Since 2000, Ravens games have gone over 45.5 points in 175 of 461.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 88%7 of 8 | 78%360 of 461 |
| Over 42.5 points | 63%5 of 8 | 46%213 of 461 |
| Over 45.5 points | 63%5 of 8 | 38%175 of 461 |
| Over 48.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 31%143 of 461 |
| Over 50.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 27%126 of 461 |
Ravens wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Ravens have won 274 of 461 games: 154 of 224 at home and 120 of 237 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 50%4 of 8 | 59%274 of 461 |
| At home | 33%1 of 3 | 69%154 of 224 |
| Away | 60%3 of 5 | 51%120 of 237 |
Ravens points against team totals
Since 2000 the Ravens have scored more than 20.5 points in 262 of 461 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 63%5 of 8 | 80%367 of 461 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 57%262 of 461 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 41%188 of 461 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 30%140 of 461 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 22%101 of 461 |
Ravens passing
This season, through week 8
| Tyler Huntley | 5 | 76 | 111 | 727 | 4 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 5 | 68 | 95 | 967 | 6 | 1 |
| Joe Fagnano | 1 | 10 | 21 | 91 | 0 | 1 |
Ravens rushing
This season, through week 8
| Derrick Henry | RB | 8 | 159 | 632 | 8 | 78% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Hill | RB | 8 | 24 | 155 | 0 | 11% |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | 5 | 16 | 147 | 1 | 4% |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | 5 | 15 | 80 | 1 | 4% |
| Rasheen Ali | RB | 8 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 4% |
| Zay Flowers | WR | 7 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 2% |
| Joe Fagnano | QB | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6% |
Ravens receiving
This season, through week 8
| Zay Flowers | WR | 58 | 40 | 608 | 3 | 29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | TE | 42 | 29 | 218 | 1 | 19% |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | 29 | 19 | 288 | 1 | 13% |
| Justice Hill | RB | 25 | 17 | 104 | 0 | 11% |
| Derrick Henry | RB | 14 | 12 | 75 | 1 | 6% |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | 14 | 9 | 89 | 0 | 12% |
| Josh Cuevas | TE | 13 | 10 | 134 | 1 | 6% |
| Devontez Walker | WR | 9 | 4 | 75 | 1 | 5% |
Who scores for the Ravens
This season, through week 8
| Derrick Henry | RB | 8 | 1 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Mark Andrews | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devontez Walker | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Moore | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Ravens fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Derrick Henry | RB | 8 | 136.7 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 35.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | WR | 7 | 122.2 | 17.5 | 14.6 | 11.7 | 27.7 |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | 5 | 79.4 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 25.3 |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | 5 | 55.1 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 24.2 |
| Mark Andrews | TE | 8 | 54.8 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 13.7 |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | 8 | 53.8 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 21.8 |
| Justice Hill | RB | 8 | 42.9 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 9.8 |
| Josh Cuevas | TE | 8 | 29.4 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 14.4 |
| Matthew Hibner | TE | 7 | 18.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10.3 |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | 4 | 17.9 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 8.0 |
| Devontez Walker | WR | 6 | 17.5 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 8.9 |
| Chris Moore | WR | 4 | 15.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 7.4 |
| LaJohntay Wester | WR | 8 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.5 |
| Rasheen Ali | RB | 8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| Elijah Sarratt | WR | 1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
What the Ravens defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Ravens
How often do Ravens games go over 45.5 points?
In 175 of 461 games since 2000 (38%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Ravens win at home?
They have won 154 of 224 home games since 2000 (69%), and 120 of 237 away.
How often do the Ravens score more than 20.5 points?
In 262 of 461 games since 2000 (57%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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