Indianapolis Colts: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Colts
The Colts are 2-6 through week 8, scoring 20.1 points a game and allowing 27.8.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
2-6, with 20.1 points scored and 27.8 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Jaguars | 7-42 | Lost |
| 7 | @Vikings | 10-16 | Lost |
| 6 | vsTitans | 20-26 | Lost |
| 5 | @Steelers | 22-34 | Lost |
| 4 | @Commanders | 30-13 | Won |
| 3 | vsTexans | 19-17 | Won |
| 2 | @Chiefs | 30-33 OT | Lost |
| 1 | vsRavens | 23-41 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 20.1 | 24.4 |
| Points allowed a game | 27.8 | 22.7 |
| Average margin | -7.6 | +1.7 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 6%29 of 456 |
Colts against the spread
Since 2000 the Colts have won by more than 3.5 points in 198 of 456 games, with an average margin of +1.7.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 29%132 of 456 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 43%198 of 456 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 67%307 of 456 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 63%5 of 8 | 77%353 of 456 |
Game totals in Colts games
Since 2000, Colts games have gone over 45.5 points in 238 of 456.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 88%7 of 8 | 89%406 of 456 |
| Over 42.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 62%281 of 456 |
| Over 45.5 points | 63%5 of 8 | 52%238 of 456 |
| Over 48.5 points | 50%4 of 8 | 44%199 of 456 |
| Over 50.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 39%179 of 456 |
Colts wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Colts have won 261 of 456 games: 145 of 226 at home and 116 of 230 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 25%2 of 8 | 57%261 of 456 |
| At home | 33%1 of 3 | 64%145 of 226 |
| Away | 20%1 of 5 | 50%116 of 230 |
Colts points against team totals
Since 2000 the Colts have scored more than 20.5 points in 288 of 456 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 75%6 of 8 | 85%386 of 456 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 63%288 of 456 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 46%211 of 456 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 36%162 of 456 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 0%0 of 8 | 27%122 of 456 |
Colts passing
This season, through week 8
| Daniel Jones | 8 | 162 | 267 | 1542 | 5 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Colts rushing
This season, through week 8
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 8 | 148 | 610 | 8 | 70% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | RB | 8 | 37 | 163 | 0 | 17% |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 8 | 22 | 79 | 1 | 6% |
| DJ Giddens | RB | 1 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 29% |
| Tyler Warren | TE | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2% |
| Deion Burks | WR | 8 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 1% |
| Josh Downs | WR | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1% |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1% |
Colts receiving
This season, through week 8
| Josh Downs | WR | 51 | 30 | 330 | 1 | 20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | WR | 50 | 36 | 325 | 1 | 22% |
| Tyler Warren | TE | 46 | 34 | 231 | 2 | 23% |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 31 | 21 | 202 | 0 | 13% |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | 28 | 16 | 215 | 0 | 11% |
| Will Mallory | TE | 9 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 15% |
| Deion Burks | WR | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 3% |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | 7 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 6% |
Who scores for the Colts
This season, through week 8
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 8 | 0 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Warren | TE | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh Downs | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Colts fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 8 | 144.2 | 18.0 | 16.7 | 15.4 | 29.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Warren | TE | 6 | 75.7 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 21.4 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | 7 | 74.5 | 10.6 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 18.3 |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 8 | 71.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 13.8 |
| Josh Downs | WR | 8 | 69.7 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 14.2 |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | 8 | 37.5 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 9.2 |
| Seth McGowan | RB | 8 | 21.5 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 5.8 |
| Deion Burks | WR | 8 | 13.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6.8 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | TE | 7 | 13.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 7.1 |
| Alec Pierce | WR | 2 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 10.1 |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | 4 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5.9 |
| Andrew Ogletree | TE | 7 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.2 |
| DJ Giddens | RB | 1 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Will Mallory | TE | 2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Pharaoh Brown | TE | 2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
What the Colts defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Colts
How often do Colts games go over 45.5 points?
In 238 of 456 games since 2000 (52%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Colts win at home?
They have won 145 of 226 home games since 2000 (64%), and 116 of 230 away.
How often do the Colts score more than 20.5 points?
In 288 of 456 games since 2000 (63%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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