NFL receiving yards: leaders and prop lines
The numbers behind NFL receiving yards props
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the league with 867 receiving yards in 7 games, through week 8.
Receiving yards leaders
This season, through week 8
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 7 | 867 | 123.9 | 37% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins | WR | 7 | 726 | 103.7 | 23% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | 8 | 709 | 88.6 | 32% | 88%7 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| Christian Watson | WR | 8 | 708 | 88.5 | 22% | 100%8 of 8 | 100%8 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 50%4 of 8 |
| Chris Olave | WR | 7 | 636 | 90.9 | 27% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 |
| Drake London | WR | 8 | 624 | 78 | 29% | 88%7 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 8 | 619 | 77.4 | 27% | 100%8 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 63%5 of 8 |
| Zay Flowers | WR | 7 | 608 | 86.9 | 29% | 86%6 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 |
| Malik Nabers | WR | 7 | 605 | 86.4 | 29% | 86%6 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 7 | 571 | 81.6 | 32% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 7 | 569 | 81.3 | 27% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 |
| Puka Nacua | WR | 6 | 565 | 94.2 | 34% | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 67%4 of 6 |
| Brock Bowers | TE | 6 | 547 | 91.2 | 29% | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 67%4 of 6 |
| Trey McBride | TE | 8 | 544 | 68 | 28% | 100%8 of 8 | 100%8 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| George Pickens | WR | 8 | 533 | 66.6 | 21% | 100%8 of 8 | 100%8 of 8 | 63%5 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 8 | 527 | 65.9 | 28% | 100%8 of 8 | 100%8 of 8 | 63%5 of 8 | 50%4 of 8 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 7 | 492 | 70.3 | 24% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 |
| Luther Burden III | WR | 7 | 491 | 70.1 | 21% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 29%2 of 7 |
| Michael Wilson | WR | 8 | 486 | 60.8 | 26% | 100%8 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 63%5 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| Davante Adams | WR | 6 | 480 | 80 | 21% | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 50%3 of 6 | 33%2 of 6 |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 8 | 474 | 59.3 | 16% | 88%7 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 7 | 437 | 62.4 | 18% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 | 29%2 of 7 |
| Parker Washington | WR | 7 | 432 | 61.7 | 24% | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 |
| George Kittle | TE | 7 | 425 | 60.7 | 22% | 100%7 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 |
| Mike Evans | WR | 6 | 420 | 70 | 24% | 100%6 of 6 | 100%6 of 6 | 67%4 of 6 | 50%3 of 6 |
| Carnell Tate | WR | 7 | 413 | 59 | 27% | 86%6 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 | 14%1 of 7 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 8 | 411 | 51.4 | 20% | 75%6 of 8 | 63%5 of 8 | 50%4 of 8 | 25%2 of 8 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | 7 | 410 | 58.6 | 19% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 14%1 of 7 |
| Denzel Boston | WR | 8 | 409 | 51.1 | 21% | 100%8 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 | 25%2 of 8 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 7 | 401 | 57.3 | 18% | 71%5 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE | 7 | 395 | 56.4 | 27% | 100%7 of 7 | 71%5 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 |
| Rome Odunze | WR | 7 | 381 | 54.4 | 17% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 | 14%1 of 7 |
| DK Metcalf | WR | 8 | 378 | 47.3 | 23% | 88%7 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 | 25%2 of 8 |
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 8 | 376 | 47 | 18% | 100%8 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 50%4 of 8 | 0%0 of 8 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 7 | 367 | 52.4 | 17% | 100%7 of 7 | 86%6 of 7 | 43%3 of 7 | 29%2 of 7 |
| Jalen Coker | WR | 6 | 363 | 60.5 | 21% | 83%5 of 6 | 67%4 of 6 | 50%3 of 6 | 33%2 of 6 |
| KC Concepcion | WR | 8 | 352 | 44 | 20% | 75%6 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 25%2 of 8 | 13%1 of 8 |
| Michael Mayer | TE | 8 | 351 | 43.9 | 16% | 88%7 of 8 | 75%6 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 | 25%2 of 8 |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 8 | 350 | 43.8 | 16% | 100%8 of 8 | 88%7 of 8 | 38%3 of 8 | 0%0 of 8 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 7 | 348 | 49.7 | 19% | 100%7 of 7 | 100%7 of 7 | 57%4 of 7 | 0%0 of 7 |
All 32 teams
This season, through week 8
Each team's receiving yards a game. Every team links to its page.
| 1 | Bengals | 302.1 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panthers | 281 |
| 3 | Packers | 280.1 |
| 4 | Lions | 279.3 |
| 5 | Raiders | 273.1 |
| 6 | Rams | 269.9 |
| 7 | Texans | 264 |
| 8 | Chiefs | 256.4 |
| 9 | Cowboys | 255.8 |
| 10 | Bills | 254.7 |
| 11 | Bears | 253.1 |
| 12 | Patriots | 252.1 |
| 13 | Seahawks | 246.6 |
| 14 | Saints | 245.9 |
| 15 | Giants | 243.1 |
| 16 | Jaguars | 242.6 |
| 17 | Jets | 239.1 |
| 18 | Cardinals | 238.5 |
| 19 | 49ers | 238.3 |
| 20 | Steelers | 233.9 |
| 21 | Browns | 226 |
| 22 | Ravens | 223.1 |
| 23 | Commanders | 214.6 |
| 24 | Chargers | 199.7 |
| 25 | Falcons | 198.8 |
| 26 | Eagles | 196.4 |
| 27 | Colts | 193.8 |
| 28 | Broncos | 186.6 |
| 29 | Vikings | 185.4 |
| 29 | Titans | 185.4 |
| 31 | Dolphins | 181.1 |
| 32 | Buccaneers | 147.5 |
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 17.5 | 17.8 | 79.9% |
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
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